Beating Alpha

iterating towards truth

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Information safety hazard

Investors have this cognitive bias that “more information” helps they make better informed decisions. It turns out not to be true; more information helps them be more emotionally comfortable with their decision making – over confident in fact. Par…

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EURUSD – week ahead

EURUSD is still playing in the RANGE zone which I have discussed few times in the last four weeks. With the daily close that heavy we will see at the open two possible scenarios. 1] market will gap down strongly on the open 2] market will rally on…

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AUDUSD – 0400

At the moment I have a pending position at 0402 to go LONG. With SL being at 0356, targeting 0540 this might be a little longer term trade. If broken strongly, it can go fairly quickly. Reasons behind this are:PROS:- overall market is bullish from…

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GBPJPY – thoughts

Right now I have GBPJPY on my watchlist. If 128,20’s holds below I will be willing to go SHORT on the more speculative position with minimum potential of 5R. Lets see …PS: currently I am in a long position in EURGBP from 8022, I will specify my …

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Week ahead

EURUSD is still trading in its 3150 – 2800 range and the signals are somehow mixed. My perception of this pair is still BULLISH but if the pair will be able to hold in the lower part of this big range my view will change. Right now the 2880’s form…